Per 100 possessions:ĭraymond was a bit better rebounding and passing, but Sochan 2.5 months younger and played a bigger freshman role averaging 25 mins/game compared to 11 mins for Draymond. But stylistically, his freshman numbers are more similar to another player with a colorful personality. Sochan has been frequently compared to Dennis Rodman for changing his hair color, and his pest like approach to the game where he regularly irritates his opponents. But collectively Daniels seems to have the highest odds of being decent of anybody outside the top 3, and he seems to have as much upside as anybody outside the top 3, and I would currently lean toward him being the correct choice at #4 overall. Hard to see him disappointing unless he simply cannot make an open 3, which is still of some concern. Diaw would not be a thrilling outcome for a top 5 pick, but it will be better than most of the guys who go outside of the top 3 this year, and there is still arguably as much (or more) upside for Daniels as there is for anybody else. It would require almost everything to go right, but it is more realistic than Jaden Ivey becoming Russell Westbrook.Ī more common outcome would be something along the lines of Boris Diaw as a versatile role playing wing is more of a passer than a scorer. If we want to turn optimism to the max, there is nothing disqualifying him from being a Scottie Pippen. If his shot creation and shooting progress well he can be an all-star.
And he isn’t lacking in upside– his passing and defense are both great for a young SF. He was already the non-top 3 prospect who had the highest odds of being a useful NBA player. We should not expect him to be an actively good shooter based on this, but it does mitigate some concern raised by his G League shooting %’s. It is a slippery point to read too heavily into, but he is making a number without touching the rim and goes on a few long streaks without the camera cutting away.
#Derrick rose wingspan pro#
His sole weakness was in his mediocre shooting at 30% 3P on 3.4 attempts/game and 53.3% FT on a small sample of 45 attempts.īut apparently he shot the lights out during his pro day. Since then Daniels has grown 1.5″ to solid SF size at 6’7.5 with 6’10.5 wingspan, and had a productive season for G League Ignite averaging 31.6 mins 11.6 pts 6.8 rebs 4.7 ast 2.7 tov 2 stl 0.7 blk with 53% 2P. Australia lost by 21 but was only -6 in Daniels’ 25 mins on the floor. Last summer when Australia played USA in FIBA, Dyson Daniels was the clear 2nd best prospect on the floor behind Chet with 18 pts 5 rebounds 4 assists 1 turnover.
Let’s discuss all other options, and try to estimate how closely they compare to one another. I have expressed doubts that Jaden Ivey is the correct choice, and skimmed through some possibilities at #4 focusing on high upside molds.īut it is not clear that swinging for the fences with an Ivey, Sharpe, or Duren at #4 is necessarily the correct answer, as it is difficult to be confident that any of them are going to be good at all. That tier was challenging enough to rank, and then at #4 we are left with a much thicker tier of 13 guys to fill out the lottery (with a few underrated guys who will inevitably slide) that is even more challenging to parse through. While Chet has less creation upside and a bit more weirdly skinny frame downside than Paolo, he still is an excellent player in his own rite and could be the best player in the draft long term.
You can always trade one of the three for 3 + D help down the road, and the main priority should be to try to hit on a future top 5 MVP candidate which Paolo has better odds of than Shai, Giddey, or Chet.īut if OKC chooses Chet, they are nevertheless left with an excellent trio of potentially 3 future all-stars, with Chet being a perfect 3 + D fit next to their guards. I would still take Paolo even if he is an odd fit with Shai + Giddey as it leaves too many offensive hubs who need the ball. This year it was season long challenge for me to decide between Paolo and Jabari for #1, and even though I settled on Paolo and would take him in Orlando’s shoes, I still have no criticism for Orlando if they choose Smith at #1 as reported since he is an excellent wing prospect.Īnd even though I have been firm on Chet being #3, it also is not a clear mistake if OKC choose him over Paolo at #2. Draft rankings are brutally difficult to execute with consistent accuracy.
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